Nationals candidate Nichole Overall has succeeded former NSW deputy premier John Barilaro as member for Monaro in this weekend’s Super Saturday by-election.

Ms Overall led Labor candidate Bryce Wilson 55.3 per cent to 44.7 per cent, according to the NSW Electoral Commission’s two candidate preferred report.

Ms Overall is the wife of former Queanbeyan-Palerang mayor Tim Overall. Mr Wilson is a QPRC councillor, and contested the Monaro seat in 2019.

Ms Overall said that Mr Wilson texted her this morning to concede the result of the Monaro by-election.

“This has been a hard-fought election campaign, and I thank the other candidates for putting themselves forward to run,” Ms Overall said.

“While there are still a number of ballot papers to be counted, I believe we are in a position that will see us win the by-election.

“Monaro is always a tough seat to win, and by-elections are always a challenge. However, if the trend continues, the result in Monaro will be a very positive outcome in light of traditional average swings in similar circumstances.

“Among other things, the result is a reflection on the NSW Nationals’ outstanding record of delivery in Monaro, and I look forward to carrying on that legacy for the benefit of all who call the Monaro electorate home.”

The Nationals, however, suffered a more than six per cent swing against them.

“In three weeks, we have achieved what many said we never could,” Mr Wilson wrote to his supporters on Facebook. “Thanks to you, we have sent [NSW Premier] Dominic Perrottet a strong message. Together, we have ensured the Nationals can no longer take our region for granted.”

Ms Overall noted that in the last 15 by-elections contested by a government candidate, the average two party preferred swing against the government was -14.2%.