Australia’s run of clear weather over the festive period appears to have ended as flooding and storms approach.

The far-western NSW town of Menindee is expected to see a record flood peak on Monday of 10.7 metres, beating the 1976 record of 10.46 metres.

Hail warnings for Victoria and Tasmania on Monday are no longer active but parts of west and south Gippsland have been told to brace for 90 to 100 km/h wind gusts in the morning.

A total fire ban has been issued for the Mallee region in Victoria’s northwest.

Melbourne is tipped to reach a maximum of 31C before conditions cool, while Hobart is forecast to hit 28C after the state’s three-day heatwave warning ended.

Ex-tropical cyclone Ellie is lingering as a monsoon over Western Australia’s Kimberley region, causing heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding in the area.

Dimond Gorge near Fitzroy Crossing recorded 204 millimetres in six hours on Sunday and Troughton Island was hit by a 91 km/h wind gust.

“People in the north of Western Australia may experience this type of weather each year at this time but wind and rain may cause damage to property and make road conditions hazardous,” the Bureau of Meteorology said.

The Northern Territory’s northern regions of Daly and Tiwi, as well as parts of the Arnhem and Gregory districts, are also in the firing line of the monsoon.

Residents have been urged to prepare for damaging winds and surf.

A low-intensity heatwave will begin across Queensland’s south on Monday and is forecast to remain until Wednesday.

By Finbar O’Mallon and Callum Godde in Sydney